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Prediction: Here’s What a $10,000 Investment in Vanguard’s Tech ETF Could Be Worth in 25 Years

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Key Points

Artificial intelligence (AI) has been driving double-digit market gains for four years, and one of the best ways to play the trend is to buy the Vanguard’s Information Technology ETF (NYSEMKT: VGT). It’s beating the S&P 500 this year by more than double, 25% to 12%, and it’s beaten the market by a wide margin over many years. Here’s what a $10,000 investment might be worth in 25 years.

The tech-driven ETF powerhouse

The information technology ETF is Vanguard’s highest-gaining ETF over the past 10 years, with an exceptional annualized gain of 23.9%. If you had invested $10,000 10 years ago, you’d have $85,910 today. That’s more than double what you’d have if you’d invested in the standard Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. Since inception in 2004, though, the ETF’s gains have been more modest at 14.6%.

Missed AI’s “Act 1”? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn’t buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of “Act 1″—the R&D phase. “Act 2” is the global rollout. Continue »

The ETF has 318 components today and is anchored by the world’s biggest companies, Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft.

Stocks don’t maintain the same growth they have delivered in the past, because as they get bigger, they slow down. However, ETFs work differently because they track indexes. Stocks get swapped out as necessary to maintain standards and growth levels, which means the index can continue to gain at similar levels.

For this exercise, let’s assume that the ETF can continue to gain at an annualized rate of 15% over the next 25 years. That would turn a $10,000 investment into $329,190.

It’s important to keep in mind that this is just an estimate, and the results over such a long period could vary.

Should you buy stock in Vanguard Information Technology ETF right now?

Before you buy stock in Vanguard Information Technology ETF, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Vanguard Information Technology ETF wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $342,020!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,270,017!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of November 4, 2026.

Jennifer Saibil has positions in Apple, Vanguard Information Technology ETF, and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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